Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump is narrowly leading Democratic nominee Kamala Harris by just one point in a recent The New York Times/Siena College poll. Trump garners 48 percent of voter support against Harris's 47 percent. The poll, which surveyed 1,695 respondents nationwide, has a margin of error of 2.8 points, making the race a statistical tie.
The poll results come on the heels of President Joe Biden’s unexpected decision in July to step aside from the 2024 presidential race, endorsing Kamala Harris to lead the Democratic Party. Despite an ensuing surge in Democratic enthusiasm, the race remains extremely tight, with Harris and Trump frequently swapping narrow leads in various surveys.
FiveThirtyEight, a media outlet that ranks pollsters based on accuracy and methodology, has identified The New York Times/Siena College poll as the most reliable in the country. Polling averages suggest a very close race, with Harris often holding a slight national lead.
"Polling shows President Trump is dominating both nationally and in the battleground states because voters want a return to pro-America policies that actually work, not the weak, failed, and dangerously liberal policies of Comrade Kamala," said Steven Cheung, a spokesperson for the Trump campaign, in a statement to Newsweek.
Despite the national averages showing a marginal lead for Harris, the forthcoming election is expected to be decided in key battleground states. These states include Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, and Wisconsin. Recent polling in swing states indicates Harris holds a narrow lead in Michigan and Wisconsin, while the two candidates are tied in Pennsylvania.
With the race as tight as it is, the upcoming debate on ABC News between Harris and Trump on Tuesday night could prove to be a pivotal moment. Nearly 28 percent of voters have expressed that they need to know more about Harris, and this face-off has the potential to significantly impact voter opinions.
Given the slim margins and fluctuating leads, the debate may heavily influence undecided voters and shape the trajectory of the campaign in the final stretch toward the election.
The poll results come on the heels of President Joe Biden’s unexpected decision in July to step aside from the 2024 presidential race, endorsing Kamala Harris to lead the Democratic Party. Despite an ensuing surge in Democratic enthusiasm, the race remains extremely tight, with Harris and Trump frequently swapping narrow leads in various surveys.
FiveThirtyEight, a media outlet that ranks pollsters based on accuracy and methodology, has identified The New York Times/Siena College poll as the most reliable in the country. Polling averages suggest a very close race, with Harris often holding a slight national lead.
"Polling shows President Trump is dominating both nationally and in the battleground states because voters want a return to pro-America policies that actually work, not the weak, failed, and dangerously liberal policies of Comrade Kamala," said Steven Cheung, a spokesperson for the Trump campaign, in a statement to Newsweek.
Despite the national averages showing a marginal lead for Harris, the forthcoming election is expected to be decided in key battleground states. These states include Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, and Wisconsin. Recent polling in swing states indicates Harris holds a narrow lead in Michigan and Wisconsin, while the two candidates are tied in Pennsylvania.
With the race as tight as it is, the upcoming debate on ABC News between Harris and Trump on Tuesday night could prove to be a pivotal moment. Nearly 28 percent of voters have expressed that they need to know more about Harris, and this face-off has the potential to significantly impact voter opinions.
Given the slim margins and fluctuating leads, the debate may heavily influence undecided voters and shape the trajectory of the campaign in the final stretch toward the election.
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